Thursday, May 17, 2012

Closing arguments

On The Diane Rehm Show (NPR) today, they discussed the John Edwards trial.  I knew not to expect much because Ruth Marcus was on.  She is the journalit who  has been running interference for Mr. Edwards for weeks now.  Remember the show is audio and transcript.  Here is an excerpt.

GJELTEN

10:09:25
And has the defense presented? You were over at the courtroom already today before you came on the show, weren't you? What's -- what's going on there this morning?

FRIEDLAND

10:09:32
The prosecution is giving its closing argument as we speak. And they basically started out by laying it out to the jury as to what they're claiming, and they basically said that, if John Edwards' affair became public, it would ruin his chances to become president and that covering up the affair and the pregnancy promoted his campaign, and, therefore, all these contributions, these gifts were campaign gifts and not personal gifts.

GJELTEN

10:10:00
So, Steven, what was the prosecution's purpose in sort of highlighting the most tawdry aspects of this affair, given that what's at issue here is a fairly narrow legal issue about what's legal under campaign finance law?

FRIEDLAND

10:10:15
It is a legal issue, but criminal trials are charged with emotion. And it's pretty clear that John Edwards acted immorally. He lied. He lied to lots of people. He hurt his family very badly, and he hurt lots of people around the nation. That factors into whether he is the kind of person who harbored criminal intent. That's the other major issue here. Did he have criminal intent in his actions?

GJELTEN

10:10:40
So, in other words, the prosecution's view would be that his character, his moral character is actually relevant.

FRIEDLAND

10:10:47
Yeah. Juries really like smoking guns. In this case, the prosecution did not have one. So it has to build its case inferentially. They do not have John Edwards, for example, saying, I knew that these were campaign contributions, and they were in excess of the amount allowed by law. So all these other inferences are helping them build the idea that he's not only immoral, he's a criminal.



And if you do not agree with Ruth Marcus, you will enjoy Meredith McGehee.


MCGEHEE

10:23:14
Actually, I don't agree with Ruth. Though, as always, I much enjoy her articles and her columns.

MARCUS

10:23:19
And it's much more fun if we disagree.

MCGEHEE

10:23:21
Yes. Well, look, I think if the prosecution hadn't pursued this case, the message would be clearly sent that having a sugar daddy come in to help you sweep your dirt under the rug and the campaign finance system was acceptable behavior. There's always a need to send the message about what is permitted and what is not. At the same time, I understand that taking this case into a criminal court is a very difficult case.

MCGEHEE

10:23:46
I mean, while we all know by a reasonable person standard, you know, kind of what I would describe as the but for standard, would this money have been given but for his political aspirations? I think the answer is very clearly, it -- no way. This was given because they wanted him to rise in the political arena. At the same time, when you get in a court of law, the evidentiary standards are much higher.

MCGEHEE

10:24:10
It's a very difficult case to prove. So, in some ways, it's a lose-lose situation. If you don't bring the case, you're sending the wrong message. If you do, you have a very tough case in court. But it was the right thing to do, and the message does need to be sent.


I thought it was going to be a very one-sided show.  Instead, it actually did strive towards fair and balanced.

For those who do not know, John Edwards was a one-term senator who got plucked from near obscurity to be Senator John Kerry's running mate on the 2004 Democratic Party ticket.  Mr. Edwards began campaigning for the 2008 nomination as soon as the 2004 race was over.

Elizabeth Edwards, his wife, had cancer.  But that did not make John Edwards bow out of the race.  Nor did his mistress Rielle Hunter cause him to consider quiting.  In 2007, Ms. Hunter gave birth to their daughter.  To care for his mistress and their daughter, he used campaign contributions from two wealthy patrons.  That is what got him into his current mess.

Today both sides made their closing arguments.  Andrew Young, Mr. Edwards' former assistant, and Mr. Edwards himself factored in the arguments.

Manuel Roig-Franzia (Washington Post) explains of the closing arguments:



Edwards winced and grimaced, shook his head or tapped his fingers on Thursday as dueling attorneys sought to define whether he or his former confidant is the bigger lout. In closing arguments that drew a crowd that snaked down a sidewalk outside the federal courthouse here, Edwards was variously depicted by the competing sides as the calculating architect of a scheme to hide his extramarital affair — and as an unknowing victim, duped by Young’s plotting. And Young was framed in equally conflicting terms: a witless hanger-on or a greedy conniver.

This is C.I.'s "Iraq snapshot" for today:

Thursday, May 17, 2012.  Chaos and violence continue, a new political entity emerges in Iraq, the political crisis continues, Turkey and Iraq clash again, the VA speaks to unions about policy changes on veterans prosthetics but doesn't feel the need to seek input from veterans, and more.

Yesterday, the House Veterans Affairs Subcommittee on Health held a hearing. 
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Today, the Subcommittee on Health held a hearing to examine VA's current capabilities to provide state-of-the-art care to veterans with amputations. The Committee heard testimony concerning VA's proposal to change procurement processes for prostheses, potentially hindering a veteran's ability to acquire the latest prosthetic and corresponding care and support.
"VA has been struggling to keep pace with the rising demands of younger and more active veterans with amputations," stated Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle, Chairwoman of the Subcommittee on Health. "VA must continue to provide multi-disciplinary care to maintain long-term and life-time quality of life. Placing prosthesis procurement into the hands of contracting officers is alarming. VA needs to match the determination and spirit demonstrated by our wounded warriors and recommit themselves to becoming a leader once again in prosthetic care."

Currently, VA provides care to approximately 42,000 veterans with limb loss. As of August of 2011, 1,506 servicemembers had experienced amputations on active duty from Operations Enduring and Iraqi Freedom. An additional 2,248 veterans underwent major amputations at VA in 2011. VA prosthetic costs have more than doubled in the past five years, yet, VA's care has fallen behind that of the Department of Defense (DoD).
"Prosthetics are a truly individualized extension of one person's body and mobility, not your typical bulk supply purchase," stated Jim Mayer, a Vietnam veteran, double amputee, and wounded warrior advocate and mentor. "When today's warriors are referred to VA and seek the newer, cutting-edge, technologically superior prosthetics they have been accustomed to [through DoD], will VA be able to meet that demand? DoD centers of excellence provide state-of-the-art and often newly evaluative prosthetics that have allowed warriors to thrive, not just in walking, but also run competitively, compete in the Paralympics, rock climb, play myriad sports and other endeavors."
"Prosthetic technology and VA have come a long way from the Civil War era. Following World War II, veterans dissatisfied with the quality of VA prosthetics stormed the Capitol in protest. Congress responded by providing VA with increased flexibility for prosthetic options and federally funded research and development," said Buerkle. "As a result, VA has been a leader in helping veterans with amputations regain mobility and achieve maximum independence. This is why I am troubled by VA's proposed changes in procurement policies and procedures which shifts the emphasis from the doctors to contracting officers."
So what kind of change is being discussed?
Jonathan Pruden:  Under the change, only a contracting officer could procure a prosthetic item costing more than $3,000.  This policy would effect essential items including most limbs like mine and wheel chairs.  It would require the use of a system designed for bulk procurement purchases that involves manually processing over three hundred -- that's 300 -- individual steps to develop a purchase order.  This system may be great for buying cinder blocks and light bulbs but it is certainly not appropriate for providing timely and appropriate medical care.  Equally troubling, this change offers no promise of improving service to the warrior.  Instead, it would mean greater delays. The change could realize modest savings but at what cost?  A warrior needing a new leg or wheel chair should not have to wait longer than is absolutely necessary.  I know warriors who have stayed home from our events, stay home from school, from work, can't play ball with their kids or live in chronic pain while they wait for a new prosthesis.   I know first hand what it's like to not be able to put my son into the crib while I'm waiting for a new prosthetic, to live in chronic pain and to have my daughter ask my wife once again, "Why can't Daddy come and walk with us?"   With VA moving ahead on changing procurement practices, wounded warriors need this Committee's help.  A prosthetic limb is not a mass produced widget. Prosthetics are specialized, medical equipment that should be prescribed by a clinician and promptly delivered to the veteran.  We urge this Committee to direct VA to stop implementation of this change in prosthetic procurement.
At the start of yesterday's hearing, Subcommittee Chair Ann Marie Buerkle noted the hearing was entitled "Optimizing Care for Veterans With Prosthetics."  The Subcommittee heard from four panels.  The first one was featured Gulf War Veteran John Register and Vietnam Veteran Jim Mayer.  Disabled American Veterans' Joy Ilem, American Orthotic & Prosthetic Association's Michael Oros, Paralyzed Veterans of America's Alethea Predeoux and Southeast Wounded Warrior Project's Jonathan Pruden made up the second panel (we covered the second panel in yesterday's hearing).  The third panel was the VA's Office of Inspector General's Linda Halliday accompanied by Nicholas Dahl, Kent Wrathall and Dr. John D. Daigh Jr. and Dr. Robert Yang.  The fourth panel was the VHA's Dr. Lucille Beck accompanied by Dr. Joe Webster, Dr. Joe Miller and Norbert Doyle. 
We're going to stay on the issue of the proposed change.  And we're going to go to the fourth panel. The VA is just eating up time in the excerpt below.  They have no idea what they're saying -- I don't think Dr. Beck even knows what "impetus" means judging by her answer -- and you would think, "At last they're done" but then they'd launch back in.  I really think that Congress needs to address the issue of witnesses whose words wander all over but never arrive anywhere.  Yes, some people speak that way.  But with government employees, it always seem to be an  attempt to run out the clock.
Chair Ann Marie Buerkle:  I have a lot of questions.  A lot of it is based on what we heard from the three previous panels -- especially the veterans and the veterans service organizations.  I think they provide for us a reliable source of information and they identify needs for us.  My first question is: What was the impetus behind the change?  You heard the concern from the previous panels.  What was the impetus behind the change in the procurement policy?  And did you consult with the veterans service organizations and/or veterans?  Who did you talk to to make this change?
Dr. Lucille Beck: The impetus for the change, uhm, is an impetus from the department to assure compliance with federal aquistion regulations.  I have with me Mr. Norbert Doyle who is VHA's chief procurement logistics officer today.  We were anticipating some of these questions.  And he's available to provide more information about  the change and what's happening.
Chair Ann Marie Buerkle: And just if you would, before you start, so does that mean heretofore the VA was not compliant?  I mean if that's the basis for your change -- that compliance is an issue -- maybe you could make that clear to us.
Norbert Doyle:  Yes, ma'am.  Thank you, Dr. Beck.  I -- Ma'am, yes, the impetus was to bring VA contraction -- to include VHA and all the other VA contracting organizations and veteran alignment with the federal aquistion regulations.  We also, uh, it's my understanding the department recognized several years ago that they were weakened in certain areas, in contract administration and the awarding of contracts and this was also to bring it inhouse to ensure proper stewardship of the government dollars. In reference to your question "did we talk to veteran service organizations?" Uh, actually last, uh -- before -- I don't believe we did before we started the process;however, last week -- And I'm happy to meet with any organization to discuss what we're doing.  I heard the complaints from the veterans service organizations that they feel out of the loop.  I met last week with Dr. Beck, with the Secretary's Advisory Committee on Prosthetics and Special Disabilities.  We spent a great deal of time with them.  And I think that group has representatives from many veterans service organizations to east -- address their concerns that they may -- that they may have.  Again, I make that offer that I would be happy to meet with any group to discuss these.
Chair Ann Marie Buerkle: Thank you.  I think it would be in the best interest as we go forward to do what's best for our veterans and to hear from the veteran service organizations and from the veterans themselves and from those who have gone through this process who understand it intimately as did the first two panelists.  That -- It would seem like very basic to meet with them and have them identify needs and concerns.  You heard Wounded Warriors say, "We're asking you, Congress, to please freeze this change." And the other point I wanted to bring up was the pilot.  You heard Paralzyed veterans, their organization asked or mentioned a pilot.  Have you done a pilot?  If so, what were the findings?  Is that the justification for this change?
Norbert Doyle: Yes, ma'am, I actually have a number of issues to address along these lines.  First, uh, to put it in context -- and, granted, we're talking about the more expensive items that we're talking about today -- the transfer of authority from prosthetics to contracting only impacts those procurements above $3,000 which is the mandated federal aquistion -- or federal, uh, micropurchase threshold. So only 3% of orders that we estimate fall in that realm.  So 97% of prosthetic orders will stay with prosthetics.  Uh, as I said we-we are doing this to bring us more in line with federal acquistion regulations and also to address many of the issues that the IG has mentioned although those were identified, I think, previously.  Now I want to assure everybody that if a clinician  specifies a specific product for a veteran, contracting will get that product for that individual. I-I do not, as a-a-a chief -- as a chief contracting person in-in the Veterans Health Administration I do not want my contracting officers making a decision as to what goes in a veterans body or gets appended to it.  That is clearly a clinician decision. And how we, uh, going to get that, uh, product the clinician specifies for the veteran and we're going to do it under the auspices of the federal aquisition regulations.  We're going to cite the authorities of 8123 which one individual mentioned that, the broad latitude given by Congress to the veteran -- to the Veterans Administration.  We're going to do that by properly preparing justifications for approvals for sole source citing in paragraph 4 the authorities granted under 8123.  There are seven exceptions in part six of the FAR [Federal Acquistion Regulation] to full and open competition.  Exception 5 is the one that  as authorized by statute and that's the one that we will -- we will use.  We have gone through great pains to ensure success in this transfer.  And a little bit of history, even starting last summer when we started this process under the direction of the department, Dr. Beck's and my folks, uh, we formed a team.  And that team included field personnel -- both prosthetics and contracting which we thought was critical.  They developed a plan on the transfer.  It was a very detailed plan.  The plan, actually, as we got into it, got more detailed as we identified other issues.  We then worked with our union partners to make sure that they did not have issues and we could proceed successfully.  There were pilots as part of the plan which is probably the best part other than bringing field people into the planning process, the pilot was a great aspect.  We did pilot in three VISNs -- in VISN 6, 11 and 20 -- and that's the Virginia, North Carolina area, the Michigan area and the Pacific northwest.  We piloted beginning in January for about 60 days.  Those pilots concluded in March.  We did learn from those pilots and we're implementing changes to ensure that care is not impacted.  Some of the things that we learned is that our staffing models are incorrect in the number of procurements that we could do in a day.  In the contracting office, we are hiring.  We have received approval to hire additional people to ensure we can keep up.  We are streamlining the process by, I mentioned, justification approvals, by templating that process so it becomes more fill-in-the-blank with the clinicians prescription.  Those are the type process.  We're slowly now implementing in the rest of the Veterans Health Administration.  I think four more VISNs are starting that process now and the rest of the VISNs will be coming on in June and July.  The goal is to have all of this done by the end of July. There is a contingency plan that we have discussed.  Uh, we still have the legacy procurement system if something does not go right or something unexpected happens that we can fall back on.  But we don't expect-expect that to happen.
Dr. Lucille Beck:  I would like to add that this has been -- has been a very strong collaboration and partnership prosthetic and sensory aid services very concerned that we can continue to provide the services to the veterans that, uhm, they deserve and that we have always been able to do and so our prosthetics organization at our local medical centers and at the VISN level remain the eyes and ears so all orders still come through prosthetics.  Prosthetics is managing them and we're working with contracting officers to achieve the, uh, placement of the order in, uh, uhm, uh, as it's required to be, uh, meeting all of our acquisition requirements and, uhm, we-we are as Mr., uh, Doyle has said, very aware of the ability to use 8123 and have spent a significant amount of time developing justifications and approvals that allow us to use that and really reflect the needs of our -- the individualized rehab needs of our veterans.  We're very much aware that we customize these products and services, that they are selected based on an individual, uhm, veterans needs and that has been our goal as we have managed this transition.  We're coming into a critical time as we move the transition forward and extend it to other VISNs.  And, uhm, we, uh, have very, uh-uh-uh, very well developed and exact procedures in place to monitor this as we go.  And we are prepared,  I think, Mr. Doyle and I, as a team, to -- and our offices as teams to uhm, uh review this very carefully and make recommendations on the way forward based on how this process affects veterans.
Norbert Doyle:  And, uh, I'm sorry, ma'am
Chair Ann Marie Buerkle: Go ahead, Mr. Doyle.
Norbert Doyle:  I add that when I met with the Advisory Committee on Prosthetics and Special Disability uh, uh, last week, they had many of these same concerns.  I think after spending a degree of time with them, uh, they at least understood what we were doing. They're still very interested in ensuring that we do achieve success but I'll let Dr. Beck comment. I don't think we left there with a burning issue -- at least, I did not -- that we needed to address. Also as-as-as a veteran myself who made several trips to Iraq and Afghanistan both in a military and civilian capacity, you know, I am very sympathetic to the needs of the veterans population.  And I will do no -- I can assure you I will do nothing that hurts the veterans because, you know, there but for the grace of God go I actually and that's the way I look at it.
Chair Ann Marie Buerkle: Thank you.  My time is way run over. However, if my colleagues will indulge me, I just have a couple of quick follow up questions and then I'll allow you to have as much time as you need.  My first concern is that you said that with the procurements it just only pertains to those over 3,000 and you said only 3% of the orders are over 3,000.  How many requests do you have?
Norbert Doyle: Uh, that is still not an insignificant number. Uh, based on our planning estimate, our planning figures for Fiscal Year '10 in which we planned the transfer over it was, uh, 3% of the orders equals roughly 90,000 orders.
Chair Ann Marie Buerkle:  So I would suggest that because we're talking about 1500 warriors with amputations that proably are in need of prosthetics that that is probably going to be a small percentage of what you are doing; however, all of those are going to exceed that $3000 threshold.  We heard earlier about a $12,000 limb.  And if it's $25,000 that doesn't matter because the veterans need prosthetics and need state of the art prosthetics.  So that concerns me, that piece right there. But the other thing that concerns me, you mentioned you talked with your union partners.  It would seem to me more appropriate to talk to your veteran partners and to the veterans who have gone through this and be more concerned with their thoughts about this being a program that works versus talking to the union partners. And, lastly, the pilot information, the results of those pilots?  If I could respectfully request that you provide us with -- I think you said that you did three: 6, 11 and 20 VISNs. If you could provide us with the findings for those pilot programs, I would greatly appreciate it.
Tomorrow's snapshot will include US House Rep Mike Michaud's questions.  Right now, whether you're pro-union or not (I am pro-union), the VA really doesn't get it or thought everyone would overlook that.  They failed -- failed -- to speak to veterans about this change but spoke to unions?  That just doesn't look or sound right.  You're talking about, as Chair Buerkle noted at the very end of the hearing, something more than isn't a sock or a pair of pants.  Why would you leave veterans out of this discussion?  It makes no sense at all.
The pilot program that Doyle babbled on about?  That pilot program was a failure.  By his own description, it was a failure.  You can't fine tune 'we're overwhelmed.'  When that's the case, you need another pilot program to see if your adjustments worked.
There are so many problems with what was said.  And while you could pan for bits of gold with Doyle, someone needed to tell Dr. Beck that she had nothing worth saying and she really wasted everyone's time.  I do get that there's a temptation to think, "I have to speak!  The other person's gone on forever! So let me rattle something off!"  Like many temptations, that one can be resisted.  And, in fact, it should be.
From the House Veterans Affairs Committee to the Senate where Senator Patty Murray is the Committee Chair.  Her office notes:
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Thursday, May 17, 2012
CONTACT: Murray 202-224-2834
                 Burr 202-228-1616
VETERANS: Murray, Burr Introduce Bill to Ensure Dignified Burials
Comes after veteran's remains were discovered to have been buried in cardboard box

(Washington, D.C.) – Today, U.S. Senator Patty Murray (D-WA), Chairman of the Senate Committee on Veterans' Affairs, and U.S. Senator Richard Burr (R-NC), Ranking Member, introduced legislation to help ensure every veteran receives a dignified burial. The Dignified Burial of Veterans Act of 2012 would authorize the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) to furnish a casket or urn to a deceased veteran when VA is unable to identify the veteran's next-of-kin and determines that sufficient resources are not otherwise available to furnish a casket or urn for burial in a national cemetery. This bill would further require that VA report back to Congress on the industry standard for urns and caskets and whether burials at VA's national cemeteries are meeting that standard. Under current law, VA is not authorized to purchase a casket or urn for veterans who do not have a next-of-kin to provide one, or the resources to be buried in an appropriate manner.
 
Chairman Murray and Ranking Member Burr, joined by U.S. Senators Bill Nelson (D-FL) and Marco Rubio (R-FL), introduced this legislation after a veteran, with no known next-of-kin, was buried in a cardboard container at a VA National Cemetery in Florida. The exposed remains were discovered during a raise and realign project at the cemetery. The veteran's remains were later placed in a bag and reburied with what was left of the cardboard box.
"When America's heroes make a commitment to serve their country, we make a promise to care for them," said Chairman Murray. "That includes helping to provide them with a burial honoring their service. I was deeply disturbed when I heard this news. There is no reason why the remains of a veteran should ever be treated with this lack of dignity. I am pleased we are taking the appropriate steps to right this indescribable wrong."
"Those who have served our country in uniform deserve our honor, appreciation, and respect, and that responsibility does not end when they pass away," said Senator Burr. "My heart goes out to those affected by the problems at the Florida National Cemetery in Bushnell. We must ensure that the remains of veterans and servicemembers are treated with dignity and respect and that the families of those who have passed away have no doubts as to the quality of the final resting place of their loved ones."
"All veterans deserve a dignified final resting place," said Senator Nelson. "A cardboard box certainly isn't one. That's why we've got to make sure this doesn't happen again."

"Those who serve our nation in uniform deserve our respect and support, from the moment they commit to serve through their deaths and even beyond as we honor their legacies," said Senator Rubio. "Providing dignified burials for veterans is a solemn pledge we must uphold. Cases like this are outrageous and need to be corrected so that no deceased veteran is ever dishonored in this way again."
 
Meghan Roh
Deputy Press Secretary | Social Media Director
Office of U.S. Senator Patty Murray
202-224-2834
 
 
Changing topics and dropping back to the December 29th snapshot:
Pinar Aydinli (Reuters) reports that Huseyin Celik, spokesperson for Turkey's ruling political party, has declared, "It has been determined from initial reports that these people were smugglers, not terrorists.  [. . .] If mistakes were made, if there were flaws and if there were shortcomings in the incident that took place, by no means will these be covered up."  That incident?  A bombing that took place near the border Turkey shares with Iraq.  BBC News (link has text and video) reports on last night's bombing, "An air strike by Turkish warplanes near a Kurdish village close to the border with Iraq has left 35 people dead, officials say. One report said that smugglers had been spotted by unmanned drones and were mistaken for Kurdish rebels." Reuters quotes Uludere Mayor Fehmi Yaman explaining that they have recovered 30 corpses, all smugglers, not PKK, and he declares, "This kind of incident is unacceptable. They were hit from the air." AFP adds, "Local security sources said the dead were among a group smuggling gas and sugar into Turkey from northern Iraq and may have been mistaken for Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) rebels." Uludere is in the Turkish province of Sirnak which borders Iraq.  CNN notes, "The [Turkish] military statement claimed the the strike was in the Sinat-Haftanin area of northern Iraq, where many militant training camps are situated and there are no civilian settlements."  Peter Beaumont (Guardian) reports, "The donkeys had been sent across Turkey's south-eastern border with Iraq to ferry vats of smuggled diesel and cigarettes. On Thursday when they came back it was with bodies wrapped in carpets lashed to their sides: the victims of a Turkish air raid that killed up to 35 villagers from this remote region."

The attack demonstrates yet again how drones are not answers and how futile the Turkish government's response to the PKK has been. 35 people are dead, not one of them PKK. All were killed by the Turkish government in what the government insists (and believes) was a worthwhile action.
Today Mike Mount (CNN) reports that the attack decisions were based on "video surveillance provided by a U.S. drone"  and "The airstrike also raises questions on how U.S. partners use information given to them by U.S. drones."  Remember that as the government presses to distribute drones throughout the US.  35 people dead as a result of that 'intel.'
Still on the topic of Turkey, Reuters reports:
An official from Iraq's foreign ministry met Turkey's ambassador, Younis Demirer, to complain about the Turkish diplomats in the cities of Basra and Mosul, a statement on the foreign ministry website said on Thursday.
"Some activities conducted by the two Turkish General Consuls in Basra and Mosul ... are far from their Consular duties and obligations stated in the Vienna Convention for Consular Relations of 1963," the statement said, without elaborating.
This incident is part of a long back and forth as Nouri al-Maliki seems determined to prove that he can alienate all neighboring countries except Iran.  Among other issues, Nouri's furious that Turkey -- like Qatar and Saudi Arabia -- refused to turn over Iraqi Vice President Tareq al-Hashemi to Baghdad.  al-Hashemi's kangaroo trial started this week but he remains in Turkey.  In addition, Nouri has repeatedly insisted that Turkish officials comments are 'interfering' with his ability to rule. 
The latest conflict might be worrisome if Iraq didn't have so many internal problems -- including the continuing violence.
Alsumaria reports that the home of a member of the "military personnel" was blown up in Mosul by unknown persons andd that the house collapsed.  No one was killed or injured. In addition, police have closed down streets and are conducting a search in Kirkuk after a peshmerga was leaving his home this morning when two cars with unknown assailants pulled up and kidnapped him.  That's one of two searches and raids going on in Kirkuk today.  In addition, a neighborhood was raided after rockets attacked the Kirkuk airbase. At least one person was detainedAlsumaria reports that the mass arrests continued today with 118 people arrested and at least twenty-four 'suspects' were injured while 2 were killed. Today's wave of mass arrests follows yesterday's.  Al Sabaah reports 57 people were arrested Wednesday.  Alsumaria notes that attorneys staged a sit-in today in Diayala in protest against the random mass arrests taking place. The arrests came on the same day Nouri gave a speech promising to punish the 'Ba'athists.' Al Mada notes Nouri is promising to avenge the crimes of the Ba'ath Party. He declared that the uninformed and the intellectually deviant were participating in the political process and, sadly, he wasn't confessing to his own issues. He spoke of "mass graves" and how he will expose the crimes of the Ba'ath and that he's called on the Minister of Human Rights to assist with that.   Iraq Body Count counts 14 killed yesterday: "Kirkuk: 11 bodies. Mosul: 1 by gunfire, 1 body.  Shirqat: 1 pharmacist, by gunfire."

As the violence continues, so does the political crisis.  May 28th is supposed to be the deadline for Nouri al-Maliki to announce he is implementing the Erbil Agreement or face a no-confidence vote.  Moqtada al-Sadr publicly announced the deadline.  If you don't stick to a deadline, there's no point in announcing one.  And Nouri may believe that this is just one of many deadllines he's been given (such as the one regarding Article 140, the Constitutionally mandated deadline) which he can actually blow off.  And he may be right.

March 7, 2010, Iraq held parliamentary elections.  Iraqiya, led by Ayad Allawi, came in first, State of Law, led by Nouri, came in second.  Nouri did not want to give up the post of prime minister and, with support from the White House and Tehran, Nouri dug his heels in creating eight months of gridlock, Political Stalemate I.  This only ended in November 2010 when the US brokered a deal known as the Erbil Agreement.  At a big meet-up in Erbil, the various political blocs signed off on the agreement.  Nouri got his second term as prime minister in exchange for concessions to other political blocs.  But once he became prime minister, Nouri refused to honor the agreement.  By the summer of 2011, the Kurds were publicly demanding that Nouri return to the Erbil Agreement and Iraqiya and Moqtada al-Sadr joined in the call.  More recently, April 28th, another meet up took place in Erbil.  Participants included KRG President Massoud Barzani, President of Iraq Jalal Talabani, Speaker of Parliament Osama al-Nujaifi, Ayad Allawi and Moqtada al-Sadr.  The demands coming out of that meet-up were a return to the Erbil Agreement and the implementation of 18-point plan by Moqtada.

Who would replace Nouri?  A number of names have been floated.  Ibrahiam al-Jaafari has been the most promiment.  al-Jaafari has held the post before and, in 2006, the Iraqi Parliament wanted to name him to anotehr term; however, the US refused to allow that to happen and demanded that their puppet Nouri al-Maliki be given the post instead.  Just as Bush protected Nouri in 2006, Barack did in 2010.


Al Rafidayn reports today that Kurdish leaders say they are comfortable with the choice of al-Jaafari to replace Nouri as prime minister.  They also report that if Nouri doesn't meet the deadline, the plan is for Moqtada to meet with the National Alliance (Shi'ite slate that includes Nouri's State of Law, Moqtada's bloc, the Supreme Islamic Council of Iraq and more) and to address the issues and options.  Alsumaria reports State of Law's Bahaa Jamal al-Din has declared in an interview with them that withdrawing confidence from Nouri would pull the country into a series of crisies.  The obvious follow up to that would be: Is that really a warning because it sounds like a threat?  Alsumaria also notes that al-Din states Moqtada's meeting with the National alliance today.  Al Mada reports National Alliance MP Jawad Albzona confirms the meet-up but places it more up in the air with details not nailed down yet about issues such as the time of the meet-up.  Dar Addustour notes the National Alliance has already postponed one meet-up on this issue this week (they cancelled the planned May 15th meet-up).  Alsumaria reported earlier today that Moqtada al-Sadr is waiting on formal response from the National Alliance and it's expected to be in written form.  Moqtada  tells Alsumaria that the response will determine the next move. Did he receive the reply?  Alsumaria reports Moqtada's not speaking now about a no-confidence vote and, when they last spoke with him, he stated he hadn't received any response from the National Alliance.   Al Sabaah reports that  Nouri's calling for a face-to-face sit-down with political blocs.


Al Rafidayn reports on rumors that include threats to publish "secret documents" in an attempt to stop and/or start a no confidence vote.  The latest round of whispers today follow yesterday's allegation by Iraqiya that State of Law was intentionally circulating false rumors as part of a disinformation campaign.  (It's an allegation many will believe because State of Law has been doing that for weeks now.)  Still on the political scene, Khaled Waleed (Niqash) reports a new
group emerging on the political scene:
A leading Sunni Muslim authority has launched a new initiative to bring together extremist groups in a political alliance. What makes the alliance unusual is that the extremists, who laid their weapons down after US troops withdrew from the country late last year, come from the two major sects of Islam in Iraq: Shiite and Sunni. In practice, these sects are often rivals in a political, and sometimes a social, sense. During several years of unrest between 2005 and 2007, that rivalry turned violent in Iraq with extremist Sunni Muslim groups like al-Qaeda targeting Shiite Muslims and vice versa. 
But now leading Sunni Muslim religious leader, Mahdi al-Sumaidaie, a hardline cleric who is well known for issuing fatwas, or religious decrees, calling upon followers to fight the US forces in Iraq and who is also known to represent the Salafist jihadists, is not only bringing the extremist factions to the debating table, he is also planning to unite the two sides within one political party.
What will unite the various groups from different sects is the fact that they all fought against US troops in Iraq, after that country invaded Iraq in 2003. Al-Sumaidaie believes that, now that the US military has left Iraq, it is time for these groups to lay down their weapons and to participate in the political process.

In what Nouri hoped would be an easy political victory,  May 7th, Nouri's government  acknowledged that it can't protect the people, Al Rafidayn reported that Nouri's agreed to allow every Iraqi household to keep one gun provided they register it with the nearest police department.  Dar Addustour added that Nouri's spokesperson Ali al-Dabbagh has explained the one gun can be either a rifle or a pistol.  Al Sabaah noted that the Ministry of the Interior will issue guidelines on how the new procedure will be implemented.  Kitabat explained that the current policy had been for the Iraqi forces to confiscate any weapon they found during a house raid.  May 10th, the pushback began.  Alsumaria reported that State of Law MP Shirwan Waeli is questioning the wisdom of the decision and stating State of Law shouldn't be giving legitimacy to arming people and that, futhermore, it suggests that the government is unable to protect Iraqis so it is now the direct responsibility of the citizens to protect themselves.  Supporters argue that the move was an attempt to limit guns and that the one-gun rule will greatly reduce the number of firearms in each home. Alsumaria noted that objections to Nouri's one-gun policy are also coming from the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq and the Kurdistan Alliance.  Ala Talabani, spokesperson for the Kurdistan Alliance, spoke publicly today about the issue and declared that they fear making each household register their one gun with the nearest police station in their areas will provide temptation for corruption.  Talabani also states that they fear the rule could lead to an increase in so-called 'honor' killings as well as an increase in domestic violence.  Today
  Al Mada reports that his proposal of one firearm per household continues to be criticized.  Women for Peace's Shaza Nagi declares that a group of NGO members met to discuss the proposal and to put forward various counter-proposals.  The biggest concern remains, according to Nagi, the presumed acknowledgment of this move: That the government's making clear it cannot protect the citizens.